台湾地区农产品外向型贸易格局与市场潜力研究

Study on the Export-Oriented Trade Pattern and Market Potential of Agricultural Products in Taiwan, China

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 中国台湾地区属于典型的外向型经济体,考察台湾地区农产品外向型贸易格局及市场潜力,对两岸农业深度融合,促进两岸农产品贸易高质量发展具有重要实践意义。
    方法/过程 选取与台湾地区及其前五大农产品贸易伙伴作为研究对象,通过测算TC指数、RCA指数与TCI指数及其指数增长率,从静态与动态两个维度,对台湾地区农产品贸易格局及市场潜力进行系统分析。
    结果/结论 研究发现:中国台湾地区农产品贸易总体呈现进口刚性依赖、出口结构分化、市场高度集中的特征;从静态维度看,台湾地区农产品贸易竞争力总体偏弱,仅在水产品等少数资源型或初级加工品类具有一定优势;从动态维度看,台湾地区农产品贸易竞争力多数呈收缩态势,其与大陆的贸易互补性持续走弱,与东盟的互补性波动较大、尚未形成稳定匹配。同时,中国台湾地区农产品出口与进口两端均高度依赖中国大陆市场。据此,研究认为唯有稳定并深化两岸农业经贸联系、推进产业链协作,才能巩固中国台湾传统优势品类竞争力、加快新兴品类比较优势转化,从而促进中国台湾农产品贸易高质量发展。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning As a typical export-oriented economy, Taiwan, China boasts important practical significance for exploring the export-oriented trade pattern and market potential of its agricultural products. The research findings contribute to the in-depth agricultural integration across the Taiwan Strait and the high-quality development of cross-strait agricultural product trade.
    Methods/Procedures This study selects Taiwan, China and its top five agricultural product trading partners as research samples. By measuring the Trade Competitiveness (TC) index, Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index, Trade Complementarity Index (TCI) and their growth rates, it systematically analyzes the trade pattern and market potential of agricultural products in Taiwan, China from both static and dynamic dimensions.
    Results/Conclusions The results show that the agricultural product trade of Taiwan, China is generally characterized by rigid import dependence, differentiated export structure and highly concentrated market distribution. From the static perspective, the overall trade competitiveness of Taiwan’s agricultural products is relatively weak, with certain comparative advantages only in a few resource-based and primary processed product categories such as aquatic products. From the dynamic perspective, the trade competitiveness of most agricultural product categories in Taiwan, China shows a contracting trend. Its trade complementarity with the Chinese mainland continues to weaken, while the complementarity with ASEAN fluctuates greatly without forming a stable matching relationship. Meanwhile, both the export and import of agricultural products in Taiwan, China are highly dependent on the Chinese mainland market. Accordingly, only by stabilizing and deepening cross-strait agricultural economic and trade ties and promoting industrial chain cooperation can Taiwan, China consolidate the competitiveness of traditional advantageous agricultural product categories, accelerate the transformation of comparative advantages of emerging categories, and further realize the high-quality development of its agricultural product trade.

     

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