新疆固定资产投资与经济增长相关性实证分析

Empirical Analysis on the Correlation Between Fixed Asset Investment and Economic Growth in Xinjiang

  • 摘要:
      目的/意义  新疆的固定资产投资规模不断扩大,持续拉动国民经济的发展,在新疆生产总值中地位日渐提高。因此,进一步探究经济发展与固定资产投资之间的关系,为推进新疆经济的未来持续稳定健康发展提供参考。
      方法/过程  以1990—2020年新疆固定资产投资与经济增长的相关数据为基础,运用描述性统计分析、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应、误差修正模型等相关方法,深入探讨了新疆固定资产投资与地区经济发展的相关性。
      结果/结论  结果显示,固定资产投资与新疆地区经济繁荣正相关,应合理控制投资,促进经济协调发展;优化投资结构,提升发展动力。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective/Meaning  The scale of fixed asset investment in Xinjiang has continued to expand, continuously driving the development of the national economy, and its position in the gross domestic product of Xinjiang was increasing day by day. Therefore, the further exploration of the relationship between economic development and fixed asset investment would provide reference for promoting the sustainable, stable and healthy development of Xinjiang ’s economy in the future.
      Methods/Procedures  Based on the relevant data of the fixed asset investment and economic growth in Xinjiang from 1990 to 2020, the correlation between the fixed asset investment and the regional economic development in Xinjiang was explored in depth by using the descriptive statistical analysis, cointegration test, Granger causality test, impulse response and error correction model.
      Results/Conclusions  The results showed that the investment of fixed assets was positively related to the economic prosperity of Xinjiang, so the countermeasures were put forward including controlling the investment rationally to promote the coordinated development of economy, and optimizing the investment structure to enhance the development impetus, etc.

     

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