“一带一路”倡议背景下闽台水产品产业内贸易影响因素实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Influencing Factors of Intra-industry Trade of Aquatic Products in Fujian and Taiwan Under the Background of “One Belt and One Road” Initiative

  • 摘要: 【目的/意义】在“一带一路”倡议背景下,研究闽台水产品贸易模式的变化,可为增强闽台水产品产业内贸易提供借鉴和思路。【方法/过程】以2008-2016年水产品的进出口分类数据为基础,计算包括GL、Bruelhart和Thom&Mc Dowell在内的一系列闽台水产品产业内贸易主要指标。以提出“一带一路”倡议的2013年为分界点,分阶段构建产业内贸易影响因素的回归模型来研究不同阶段的主要影响因素。【结果/结论】结果显示,闽台水产品的贸易模式越来越倾向于产业内贸易。2013年前闽台水产品产业内贸易的主要影响因素是对外贸易依存度,2013年后的主要影响因素是产业结构差异和经济水平差异,并从渔业产业结构和闽台经贸合作方面提出相应对策。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective/Meaning】Under the background of“One Belt and One Road”,the changes of trade pattern of aquatic products in Fujian and Taiwan were studied,thus to provide ideas and references for strengthening the intra-industry trade of aquatic products in Fujian and Taiwan.【Methods/Procedures】Based on the import and export classification data of aquatic products from 2008 to 2016,a series of key indicators of intra-industry trade of aquatic products in Fujian and Taiwan were calculated,including GL,Bruelhart and Thom & Mc Dowell.Then,taking 2013,when the“One Belt and One Road”initiative was proposed,as the cut-off point,the regression model of the influencing factors of intra-industry trade was built in stages to study the main influencing factors at different stages.【Results/Conclusions】The results showed that the trade pattern of aquatic products in Fujian and Taiwan was more and more inclined to intra-industry trade.Before 2013,the main influencing factor of intra-industry trade of aquatic products in Fujian and Taiwan was foreign trade dependence,while after 2013,the main influencing factors were the differences of industrial structure and economic level.Finally,the corresponding countermeasures were put forward from the structure of fishery industry and the economic and trade cooperation between Fujian and Taiwan.

     

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