人工智能发展对我国农业绿色全要素生产率的影响

Effect of Artificial Intelligence Development on the Green Total Factor Productivity of Agriculture in China

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 探讨人工智能赋能农业绿色转型的传导机制,旨在为驱动农业绿色可持续发展及高质量转型提供理论依据与实践参考。
    方法/过程 聚焦人工智能赋能农业绿色转型的传导机制,选取2011—2024年中国省级面板数据为样本,从智能技术渗透、智慧农业应用广度和农业创新成果3个层面构建评价体系,以衡量人工智能发展水平;以农业碳排放为非期望产出,结合非径向SBM模型与GML指数测算中国各省农业绿色全要素生产率,并通过空间面板模型检验影响效应。
    结果/结论 研究发现:(1)省级人工智能应用水平与农业GTFP在空间分布上存在显著的不均衡特征;(2)人工智能不仅能显著提升本地农业GTFP,且表现出明显的跨区域正向空间溢出效应;(3)农业生产集聚水平对技术赋能效果存在门槛效应,随着集聚程度跨越特定门槛值,人工智能对农业绿色发展的驱动作用显著增强。研究结果为通过人工智能优化产业布局、实现区域协同绿色转型提供了重要证据。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning  This study aimed to explore the transmission mechanism of artificial intelligence enabling the agricultural green transformation, providing theoretical basis and practical reference for driving the agricultural green sustainable development and high-quality transformation.
    Methods/Procedures  By focusing on the transmission mechanism of artificial intelligence enabling the agricultural green transformation, the provincial panel data in China from 2011 to 2024 was selected as the samples, and an evaluation system was constructed from three aspects: intelligent technology penetration, breadth of intelligent agricultural application and agricultural innovation achievements, so as to measure the development level of artificial intelligence. By taking the agricultural carbon emissions as the undesirable output, and combining the non-radial SBM model and GML index, the green total factor productivity of agriculture in China’s provinces was measured, and the impact effect was tested through the spatial panel model.
    Results/Conclusions  The study found that: (1) There was a significant imbalance in the spatial distribution of provincial artificial intelligence application level and agricultural GTFP. (2) The artificial intelligence could not only significantly improve the local agricultural GTFP, but also show pronounced positive spatial spillover effects across regions. (3) The agglomeration level of agricultural production had a threshold effect on the effect of technology empowerment. As the degree of agglomeration crossed a specific threshold, the driving effect of artificial intelligence on agricultural green development was significantly enhanced. The research results provided important evidence for optimizing the industrial layout through artificial intelligence and realizing the regional coordinated green transformation.

     

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