农业新质生产力对粮食安全的影响分析

Analysis on the Impact of New Quality Productive Forces in Agriculture on Food Security in China

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 通过探究农业新质生产力影响粮食安全的具体路径与空间效应,以明确其作用机制及区域异质性,为系统提升粮食安全韧性提供实证依据。
    方法/过程 基于中国30个省份2013-2023年的面板数据,利用空间杜宾模型实证分析农业新质生产力对粮食安全的空间影响效应及其内在机制。
    结果/结论 研究发现,农业新质生产力显著提升本地区粮食安全水平,并产生正向区域间空间溢出效应。异质性分析显示,农业新质生产力对东部地区、非粮食主产区和高科技投入地区粮食安全水平的促进效应更为突出。机制检验证实,农业新质生产力可通过优化农业产业结构与提升农业绿色全要素生产率间接增强粮食安全。因此,应构建区域协同治理体系以激活空间溢出效应,深化产业结构优化路径,完善农业绿色全要素生产率技术赋能体系,并实施区域差异化保障政策,系统提升粮食安全韧性。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning Exploring the specific pathways and spatial effects of new quality productive forces in agriculture on the food security will elucidate their operational mechanisms and regional heterogeneity, thereby providing an empirical basis for systematically enhancing the resilience of food security.
    Methods/Procedures Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2023, the spatial impact effects of new-quality agricultural productivity on the food security and its internal mechanisms were empirically analyzed by using the Spatial Durbin Model.
    Results/Conclusions The study found that the new-quality agricultural productivity significantly improved the level of food security in the local region and had positive inter-regional spatial spillover effects. The heterogeneity analysis showed that the promoting effects of new-quality agricultural productivity on the food security levels in the eastern regions, non-major grain-producing areas, and the regions with high-tech investment were more prominent. The mechanism tests confirmed that the new-quality agricultural productivity could indirectly enhance the food security by optimizing the agricultural industrial structure and improving the agricultural green total factor productivity. Therefore, it was necessary to establish a regional collaborative governance system to activate the spatial spillover effects, deepen the optimization path of the industrial structure, improve the technical empowerment system for the agricultural green total factor productivity, and implement the regional differentiated guarantee policies, so as to systematically enhance the resilience of food security.

     

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