基于熵权—TOPSIS法的新型农业经营主体韧性评价以山东省为例

Evaluation of resilience of new agricultural management entities based on entropy power-TOPSIS methodShandong Province as an example

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 旨在提升山东省新型农业经营主体应对气候变化、市场波动及资源约束等挑战的韧性,并为其他地区新型农业经营主体韧性评价实践提供方法借鉴。
    方法/过程 结合组织韧性和农业韧性的理论框架,构建涵盖稳定性、适应性和发展性的多维新型农业经营主体韧性评价体系;运用熵权法确定各指标权重后,再利用TOPSIS模型对其进行综合评价,以山东省2019—2023年的新型农业经营主体数据为案例,分析其韧性演进特征与关键影响因素,并提出相应的政策建议。
    结果/结论 研究表明,农业生产稳定性强化、组织结构适应性优化及技术发展持续性投入是驱动韧性增强的核心路径,社会化服务水平、农业保险覆盖程度及科技研发投入对韧性具有显著促进作用。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning It aims to enhance the resilience of new agricultural entities in Shandong Province to cope with the challenges of climate change, market fluctuations and resource constraints, and provide methodological reference for the practice of resilience evaluation of new agricultural entities in other regions, which can effectively safeguard food security and promote the sustainable development of the rural economy.
    Methods/Procedures Combining the theoretical frameworks of organisational resilience and agricultural resilience, a multi-dimensional resilience evaluation system for new agricultural management entities is constructed, covering stability, adaptability and development. The entropy weight method is used to determine the weights of each index and then the TOPSIS model is used to carry out a comprehensive evaluation, and the data of new agricultural management entities in Shandong Province in 2019-2023 are used as an example to analyse the characteristics of their resilience evolution and the key factors affecting them, based on which, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.
    Results/Conclusions The study shows that strengthening the stability of agricultural production, optimising the adaptability of organisational structure and sustained investment in technological development are the core paths driving resilience, while the level of socialised services, the degree of agricultural insurance coverage and investment in scientific and technological research and development have a significant contribution to resilience.

     

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