农文旅融合赋能旅游经济增长:影响效应及作用机制

Empowering Tourism Economic Growth through Integration of Agriculture, Cultural and Tourism: Impact Effects and Mechanisms

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 农文旅融合是促进产业转型升级、国民经济增长的重要路径。探究农文旅融合对旅游经济增长的影响,旨在为更好地促进我国旅游经济高质量发展提供参考。
    方法/过程 基于2010—2023年的省级面板数据,运用双向固定效应模型、中介效应模型和调节效应模型,分析农文旅融合对旅游经济增长的影响效应和作用机制。
    结果/结论 结果表明:(1)农文旅融合对旅游经济增长具有显著的正向影响,该结论经内生性处理和多重稳健性检验后依然成立;(2)农文旅融合能够通过加快旅游技术创新来促进旅游经济增长;(3)产业结构高级化能够正向调节农文旅融合对旅游经济增长的影响,但产业结构合理化的调节效应并不显著;(4)异质性分析发现,农文旅融合对西部省份、低交通密度省份和低农业产业化水平省份的旅游经济增长的促进效应更加明显。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning The integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism is a key pathway for promoting industrial transformation and upgrading, as well as economic growth. Exploring the impact of this integration on the tourism economy aims to provide insights for better fostering high-quality development in China’s tourism sector.
    Methods/Procedures Using provincial panel data from 2010 to 2023, this study employs two-way fixed-effects models, mediation models, and moderation models to analyze the impact and mechanisms of the integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism on tourism economic growth.
    Results/Conclusions The results indicate that: (1) the integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism has a significant positive impact on tourism economic growth; this conclusion remains valid even after addressing endogeneity issues and conducting multiple robustness tests; (2) the integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism promotes tourism economic growth by accelerating technological innovation in the tourism sector; (3) The upgrading of industrial structure positively moderates the effect of the integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism on tourism economic growth, whereas the moderating effect of industrial rationalization is not significant; (4) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism has a more pronounced promotional effect on tourism economic growth in western provinces, provinces with low transportation density, and provinces with low levels of agricultural industrialization.

     

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