数智技术与农民增收:影响效应、作用机制及政策建议研究

Digital Intelligence Technology and Farmers' Income Growth: Impact Effects, Mechanisms, and Policy Recommendations

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 数字经济时代,发展数智技术可为农民增收提供新契机。
    方法/过程 基于2012—2023年31个省份面板数据并构建计量回归模型,系统探究数智技术发展对农民增收的影响效应与作用机制。
    结果/结论 研究发现,数智技术能显著推动农村居民可支配收入提升,结论经多重稳健性检验后依然成立。增收作用通过提升技术成果转化效率、培育粮食新质生产力两条路径实现。数智技术的增收效应存在显著异质性,在数字基础更优的东部地区、产业结构多元的非粮食主产区表现更为突出。数智技术是激活农村增收动能的重要抓手,据此提出完善农村数字基础设施、实施区域多元化赋能策略、深化数智技术与农业全链条融合、推动两岸农业数智化协同发展的政策建议,为助力农民增收与乡村振兴提供实践参考。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning In the era of the digital economy, the development of intelligent digital technologies provides new opportunities for increasing farmers’ income.
    Methods/Procedures Using panel data from 31 provinces between 2012 and 2023 and constructing an econometric regression model, this study systematically examines the impact and mechanisms of intelligent digital technology development on farmers’ income growth.
    Results/Conclusions The findings indicate that intelligent digital technologies can significantly increase rural residents’ disposable income, and these conclusions remain valid after multiple robustness checks. The income-enhancing effect is realized through two main channels: improving the efficiency of technology commercialization and cultivating new-quality agricultural productivity. The income-boosting effects of intelligent digital technologies exhibit significant heterogeneity, being more pronounced in the eastern regions with better digital infrastructure and in non-major grain-producing areas with diversified industrial structures. Intelligent digital technology serves as a crucial lever for stimulating rural income growth. Accordingly, policy recommendations are proposed including improving rural digital infrastructure, implementing regionally diversified empowerment strategies, deepening the integration of intelligent digital technologies across the entire agricultural value chain, and promoting cross-strait digital agricultural collaboration, offering practical guidance to support farmers’ income growth and rural revitalization.

     

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