果农有机肥施用意愿与行为悖离的影响因素及层次结构分解基于Logistic-ISM模型

Influencing Factors and Hierarchical Structure Decomposition of the Contradiction between the Willingness and Behavior of Apple Growers to Apply Organic Fertilizer: Based on the Logistic-ISM Model

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 针对果农有机肥施用意愿与实际行为之间存在显著悖离的现实问题,文章旨在揭示其影响因素及其内在层次结构,为推动意愿向行为转化、促进农业绿色可持续发展提供决策参考。
    方法/过程 基于黄河流域甘肃、陕西、山西、河南和山东5省1124个苹果种植户的实地调查,运用二元Logistic-ISM模型分析果农有机肥施用意愿与行为悖离的影响因素,识别关键影响因素并解析其关联路径与层次结构。
    结果/结论 结果显示:(1)政府效应、技术认知、政策满意度、政策感知、政策补贴、收益预期、产量预期、经济预期、受教育程度和人均收入情况等10个因素对果农有机肥施用意愿与行为悖离具有显著影响;(2)影响因素呈现多层次结构:技术认知、政策感知和经济预期为表层直接因素,政府效应、政策满意度、收益预期、产量预期和人均月收入情况为中层间接因素,政策补贴和受教育程度为深层根源因素。(3)黄河流域果农对有机肥认知尚可但实际施用率偏低,建议通过加大宣传力度和线上线下知识普及培训,提高果农对有机肥的认知;加强政策扶持力度,鼓励果农积极施用有机肥;针对黄河上中下游制定差异化政策,提升果农收益与认知水平,从而促进其有机肥施用意愿向实际行为发生转化。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Significance As one of the green production methods, organic fertilizer is very important to ecological environment protection and agricultural sustainable development.
    Method/Process Based on the field survey of 1124 apple farmers in Gansu, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Henan and Shandong provinces in the Yellow River Basin, this paper used the binary Logistic ISM model to analyze the influencing factors of the disconnection between organic fertilizer application intention and behavior of apple farmers, and deeply discussed the correlation and hierarchical structure of each influencing factor.
    Result/Conclusion The results were showed as follows. (1) Government effect, technology cognition, policy satisfaction, policy perception, policy subsidy, income expectation, yield expectation, economic expectation, education level and per capita income had significant influence on the intention and behavior deviation of organic fertilizer application of apple growers. (2) Technology cognition, policy perception and economic expectation are the surface direct factors, government effect, policy satisfaction, income expectation, output expectation and per capita monthly income are the middle indirect factors, and policy subsidies and education level are the deep root factors. (3) Apple farmers in the upper, middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River had a certain understanding of organic fertilizer, but showed a low application behavior on the whole. Publicity and online and offline knowledge popularization training should be strengthened to improve the cognition of apple farmers on organic fertilizer. Strengthen policy support to encourage apple growers to actively apply organic fertilizer; Differentiated policies were formulated for the upper, middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River to improve the income of apple farmers and reduce the economic burden, so as to promote the transformation of organic fertilizer application intention into actual behavior.

     

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