果农有机肥施用意愿与行为悖离的影响因素及层次结构分解基于Logistic-ISM模型

Influencing Factors and Hierarchical Structure Decomposition of the Contradiction Between the Willingness and Behavior of Apple Growers to Apply Organic FertilizerBased on the Logistic-ISM Model

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 针对果农有机肥施用意愿与实际行为之间存在显著悖离的现实问题,文章旨在揭示其影响因素及其内在层次结构,为推动意愿向行为转化、促进农业绿色可持续发展提供决策参考。
    方法/过程 基于黄河流域甘肃、陕西、山西、河南和山东5省1124个苹果种植户的实地调查,运用二元Logistic-ISM模型分析果农有机肥施用意愿与行为悖离的影响因素,识别关键影响因素并解析其关联路径与层次结构。
    结果/结论 结果显示:(1)政府效应、技术认知、政策满意度、政策感知、政策补贴、收益预期、产量预期、经济预期、受教育程度和人均收入情况等10个因素对果农有机肥施用意愿与行为悖离具有显著影响;(2)影响因素呈现多层次结构:技术认知、政策感知和经济预期为表层直接因素,政府效应、政策满意度、收益预期、产量预期和人均月收入情况为中层间接因素,政策补贴和受教育程度为深层根源因素;(3)黄河流域果农对有机肥认知尚可但实际施用率偏低,建议通过加大宣传力度和线上线下知识普及培训,提高果农对有机肥的认知;加强政策扶持力度,鼓励果农积极施用有机肥;针对黄河上中下游制定差异化政策,提升果农收益与认知水平,从而促进其有机肥施用意愿向实际行为发生转化。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning Aiming at the practical problem that there is a significant deviation between the willingness and actual behavior of fruit farmers to apply organic fertilizer, this paper aims to reveal its influencing factors and its internal hierarchical structure, in order to provide decision-making reference for promoting the transformation of willingness to behavior and promoting the green and sustainable development of agriculture.
    Methods/Procedures Based on the field survey of 1124 apple growers in Gansu, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Henan and Shandong provinces in the Yellow River Basin, the binary Logistic-ISM model was used to analyze the influencing factors of the deviation between the willingness of fruit farmers to apply organic fertilizer and their behavior, and identify the key influencing factors, and then analyze their correlation paths and hierarchical structures.
    Results/Conclusions The results showed that: (1) The ten factors including government effect, technology cognition, policy satisfaction, policy perception, policy subsidy, income expectation, yield expectation, economic expectation, education level and per capita income had significant impact on the deviation between the willingness and behavior of fruit farmers to apply the organic fertilizer. (2) The influencing factors showed a multi-level structure: technical cognition, policy perception and economic expectation were the surface direct factors; government effect, policy satisfaction, income expectation, output expectation and per capita monthly income were the middle indirect factors; and policy subsidy and education level were the deep root factors. (3) The fruit farmers in the Yellow River Basin had certain understanding of organic fertilizer, but showed a low application behavior on the whole. Therefore, the countermeasures were put forward including increasing the publicity and the online and offline knowledge popularization training to improve the cognition of fruit farmers on the organic fertilizer, strengthening the policy support to encourage the fruit farmers to actively apply the organic fertilizer, and formulating the differentiated policies for the upper, middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River to improve the the income and cognitive level of fruit farmers, so as to promote the transformation of their willingness to apply the organic fertilizer into actual behavior.

     

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