福建省农民农业经营收入趋势分析

Empirical Study on Farmers’ Income from Agriculture in Fujian Province

  • 摘要: 总结了近年来福建省农民收入的变化趋势和变化原因,认为福建省农民的农业经营收入与工资性收入逐年提高;对福建省农民农业经营收入影响因素进行了回归分析、格兰杰因果关系检验和协整分析,认为城镇居民的食品支出是农业经营收入的格兰杰原因,且二者存在长期稳定的互动关系;最后对在以城镇带动农村、以工业反哺农业的新背景下,如何提高农民增收进行了思考。

     

    Abstract: Through studying the statistical data of Fujian Province, it’ s evident that the farmers’ income from agricultural production and wage is increasing gradually. Recent years has witnessed a great increase in the net income of farmers. Using Granger causality test of the income and food expenditure, the test indicates that food expenditure of urban residents is the cause of farmers’ income of agricultural production. Cointegration test shows that there is a long term stable equilibrium between the two series, and an error correction model is built later. Thereafter some insight is played on how to increase farmers’ income under a new era of boosting urban resources to support the rural development and encouraging industry to driving agricultural production.

     

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