两岸农产品产业内贸易影响因素对比分析

A Comparative Analysis of the Influencing Factors on Agricultural Intra-industry Trade of Both Sides of the Taiwan Strait

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 分析2014—2023年两岸农产品产业内贸易的水平、影响因素及变化趋势,为促进两岸农产品贸易发展提供参考。
    方法/过程 采用G-L指数与MIIT指数测算产业内贸易水平,并基于多元回归引力模型对比分析其影响因素。
    结果/结论 G-L指数表明两岸农产品贸易呈现产业内贸易向产业间贸易转变的趋势,越南与两岸均保持较高的农产品产业内贸易水平。MIIT指数显示两岸农产品贸易增量主要由产业间贸易驱动,大陆与越南、台湾与韩国及泰国保持较高的MIIT数值。市场开放度差异与地理距离对两岸产业内贸易具有显著抑制作用,农产品贸易竞争力对大陆有正面影响而对台湾有负面影响。建议通过深化区域合作、协调市场开放政策、提升产品差异及降低物流成本等措施,进一步促进两岸农产品贸易发展。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning The intra-industry trade of agricultural products of both sides of the Taiwan Strait plays an important role in enhancing the agricultural integration of both sies.
    Method/Process  The index of G-L and MIIT were used to measure the level of intra-industry trade and a Multiple Gravity Model was employed to comparatively analyze the influencing factors of intra-industry trade of both sides of the Taiwan Strait respectively.
    Result/Conclusion The index of indicate the agricultural trade between both sides of the Taiwan Strait has shown the tendency from intra-industry trade to inter-industry trade and Vietnam maintains a high level of intra-industry trade with both sides of the Taiwan Strait. The index of MIIT shows that trade increment between both sides of the Taiwan Strait is mainly driven by inter-industry trade. The index of MIIT between Mainland China and Vietnam, and those of Taiwan-Korean and Taiwan-Thailand are high. Differences in market openness and geographical distance have a significant inhibitory effect on intra-industry trade of both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Agricultural competitiveness has a positive effect on the intra-industry trade of Mainland China whereas its impact is negative for Taiwan. It is important to enhance regional collaboration, harmonize market oneness policies, increase product differentiation, and to reduce logistics costs for further development of agricultural trade of both sides of the Taiwan Strait.

     

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