数字乡村建设赋能农业农村现代化:实证检验与机制分析

Digital Rural Construction Empowers Agricultural and Rural Modernization: Empirical Test and Mechanism Analysis

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 农业农村现代化是满足人民日益增长的美好生活需要、实现乡村全面振兴的核心引擎,而数字乡村建设为农业农村现代化注入强劲动能。文章旨在实证检验数字乡村建设对农业农村现代化的影响效应,并深入揭示其作用机制,为推动乡村全面振兴提供政策参考。
    方法/过程 在理论分析的基础上,基于2011—2023年中国31个省级面板数据,运用面板固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型等方法,实证探讨数字乡村建设对农业农村现代化的影响效应及作用机制。
    结果/结论 结果显示:(1)基准回归结果表明,数字乡村建设能够直接促进农业农村现代化,且该结论在考虑多种内生性、稳健性检验下仍成立;(2)中介模型检验结果表明,农业创新和农业产业链现代化是数字乡村建设赋能农业农村现代化的两条重要路径;(3)异质性分析发现,数字乡村建设在粮食主销区、低市场化指数区以及农业劳动生产率低区的赋能效应更为显著;(4)进一步分析发现,随着农民受教育水平的提高,超过一定门槛值后,数字乡村建设对于农业农村现代化的促进作用逐渐减弱。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning Agricultural and rural modernization is the core engine for meeting the people’s ever-growing needs for a better life and for achieving all-round rural revitalization, and digital-village construction injects strong momentum into this process.
    Methods/Procedures On the basis of theoretical analysis and using panel data for 31 Chinese provinces over 2011–2023, we apply a panel fixed-effects model, a mediation-effects model and a threshold-effects model to empirically examine the impact and mechanisms of digital-village construction on agricultural and rural modernization.
    Results/Conclusions (1) Baseline estimates show that digital-village construction directly promotes agricultural and rural modernization; this result survives a battery of endogeneity and robustness checks. (2) Mediation analysis reveals that agricultural innovation and the modernization of agricultural value chains are two key channels through which digital-village construction empowers modernization. (3) Heterogeneity tests indicate that the empowerment effect is stronger in major grain-consuming regions, in areas with a low marketization index, and in regions with low agricultural labor productivity. (4) Further analysis finds that as farmers’ education rises, the marginal promoting effect of digital-village construction on modernization weakens once education exceeds a certain threshold.

     

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