养老保险对农村居民延迟退休意愿的影响基于CHARLS数据的分析

Effect of Pension Insurance on the Willingness of Rural Residents to Delay RetirementAnalysis Based on CHARLS Data

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 人口老龄化是我国目前所面临的严峻问题,分析养老保险对延迟退休意愿的影响,鼓励广大农村居民留在劳动力市场,对老年人力资源进行开发利用,有利于减轻养老负担,更好地落实延迟退休政策,符合现今中国国情变化的需要。
    方法/过程 利用2020年中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)的相关数据,对农村居民延迟退休意愿及计划退休年龄采取二元Logistics回归和OLS回归分析方法。
    结果/结论 结果显示,养老保险对我国农村居民延迟退休意愿和计划退休年龄具有显著的正效应;并且,对于不同性别和地区的农村居民,养老保险对其延迟退休意愿的正效应有一定的差异,男性以及东西部地区的显著度较高。据此提出渐进推行延迟退休政策、设置激励引导机制、保障劳动者建言献策和制定针对性延迟退休方案等政策建议。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning The population aging has been a serious problem in China at present. By analyzing the impact of pension insurance on the willingness to delay retirement, encouraging the majority of rural residents to stay in the labor market, and developing and utilizing the elderly human resources, it was conducive to reducing the pension burden and better implementing the delayed retirement policy, which was in line with the changing needs of the current national conditions in China.
    Methods/Procedures Based on the relevant data of China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) in 2020, the binary Logistics regression and OLS regression analysis methods were used to analyze the willingness of rural residents to delay retirement and their planned retirement age.
    Results/Conclusions The results showed that the pension insurance had a significant positive effect on the willingness of rural residents in China to delay retirement and their planned retirement age. In addition, for the rural residents of different genders and from different regions, the positive effect of pension insurance on their willingness to delay retirement exhibited some differences, and the significance of male and the eastern and western regions was higher. Based on this, some policy suggestions were put forward, including gradually implementing the delayed retirement policy, setting up the incentive and guidance mechanism, ensuring the workers’ voice and suggestions, and formulating the targeted delayed retirement scheme.

     

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