政策工具视角下中国第三支柱养老金融政策的演进逻辑与优化路径基于2017—2025年中央政策文本的内容分析

The Evolutionary Logic and Optimization Path of China’s Third-Pillar Pension Finance Policy from the Perspective of Policy Instruments: An Empirical AnalysisBased on Central Policy Texts from 2017 to 2025

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 中国老龄化呈“未富先老”特征,凸显经济发展与老龄化速度的错配矛盾。伴随人口结构深刻变革,传统单一基本养老保险难以持续应对挑战,构建多层次、多支柱养老保险体系成为必然。
    方法/过程 研究基于政策工具的分析视角,综合中国养老金融体系的演进脉络,构建对中国养老体系政策文本的二维分析框架,并运用质性分析工具Nvivo对2017年以来25份有关中国养老金融政策文本进行编码分析。
    结果/结论 研究发现政府对第三支柱构建了“环境型搭台、供给型唱戏、需求型激励”的复合型政策工具组合,中国第三支柱养老的建设是自上而下的政府驱动模式,其中政府通过强有力的顶层设计来引导市场发展。未来还应优化政策激励、打破系统壁垒、创新产品设计,推动中国养老金融向好发展。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning China’s aging population presents a “getting old before getting rich” feature, highlighting the mismatch between economic development and the speed of aging. With profound changes in the population structure, the traditional single basic endowment insurance system can hardly meet the challenges sustainably, making it imperative to construct a multi-level and multi-pillar endowment insurance system.
    Methods/Procedures Based on the analytical perspective of policy instruments, this study integrates the evolutionary context of China’s pension finance system and constructs a two-dimensional analytical framework for policy texts related to China’s pension system. By applying the qualitative analysis software Nvivo, it conducts coding analysis on 25 central policy texts concerning China’s pension finance issued since 2017.
    Results/Conclusions The findings reveal that the government has established a composite policy instrument mix characterized by “environment-type instruments laying the foundation, supply-type instruments driving implementation, and demand-type instruments providing incentives” for the development of the third pillar. The construction of China’s third-pillar pension system follows a top-down government-driven model, where the government guides market development through robust top-level design. Moving forward, efforts should be made to optimize policy incentives, break down systemic barriers, and innovate product design, so as to promote the sound development of China’s pension finance.

     

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