数智技术与农民增收:影响效应、作用机制及对策

Digital Intelligence Technology and Farmers’ Income Growth: Effects, Mechanisms, and Policy Recommendations

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 数字经济时代,发展数智技术可为农民增收提供新契机。
    方法/过程 基于2012—2023年31个省份面板数据并构建计量回归模型,系统探究数智技术发展对农民增收的影响效应与作用机制。
    结果/结论 研究发现,数智技术能显著推动农村居民可支配收入提升,结论经多重稳健性检验后依然成立。增收作用通过提升技术成果转化效率、培育粮食新质生产力两条路径实现。数智技术的增收效应存在显著异质性,在数字基础更优的东部地区、产业结构多元的非粮食主产区表现更为突出。数智技术是激活农村增收动能的重要抓手,据此提出完善农村数字基础设施、实施区域多元化赋能策略、深化数智技术与农业全链条融合、推动两岸农业数智化协同发展的政策建议,为助力农民增收与乡村振兴提供实践参考。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning  In the era of digital economy, the development of digital intelligence technology can provide new opportunities for farmers to increase their income.
    Methods/Procedures Based on the panel data of 31 provinces from 2012 to 2023, an econometric regression model was constructed to systematically explore the effect and mechanism of the development of digital intelligence technology on the income increase of farmers.
    Results/Conclusions  The study found that the digital intelligence technology could significantly promote the disposable income of rural residents, and the conclusion remained valid after multiple robustness tests. The role of increasing income was achieved by improving the transformation efficiency of technological achievements and cultivating the new-quality productivity of grain. There was a significant heterogeneity in the income increase effect of digital intelligence technology, which was more prominent in the eastern region with better digital infrastructure and the non-major grain-producing areas with diversified industrial structure. The digital intelligence technology served as an important measure for activating the momentum of rural income growth. Accordingly, the policy recommendations were put forward, including improving the rural digital infrastructure, implementing the regional diversified empowerment strategies, deepening the integration of digital intelligence technology and the whole chain of agriculture, and promoting the coordinated development of agricultural digital intelligence on both sides of the Straits, so as to provide practical reference for helping farmers increase their income and rural revitalization.

     

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