全球价值链视角下闽台低碳贸易竞争力发展研究

Study on the Development of Low-carbon Trade Competitiveness Between Fujian and Taiwan fromthe Perspective of Global Value Chain

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 在全球气候变化、碳中和目标推进与全球价值链重构背景下,考察闽台低碳贸易竞争力的演变特征及形成机制,为贸易绿色转型和高质量融合发展提供参考。
    方法/过程 基于2012、2017和2022年投入产出表及碳排放数据,测算闽台总体及四大部门的低碳贸易竞争力指数,并从GVC分工特征演化视角分析其竞争力演变逻辑。
    结果/结论 研究发现:(1)福建省总体低碳贸易竞争力呈“V型”演变,形成“服务业主导、工业修复、农业和能源拖累”的竞争力格局;台湾处于低比较优势,呈现“有顺差、弱低碳优势”特征,且农业和能源持续偏弱、工业优势波动、服务业转弱。(2)福建省前向参与增强、后向依赖下降,分工位置总体改善;台湾虽参与度较高,但后向依赖加深、位置优势回落。(3)福建省依托数字服务扩张、绿色制造发展和能源结构优化,推动分工升级带动竞争力提升;台湾则受后向依赖和高碳投入约束,分工优势转化不足。表明提升低碳贸易竞争力,关键在于优化GVC参与方式、降低高碳投入依赖并提升碳效率。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning  Under the background of global climate change, the advancement of carbon neutrality goals and global value chain reconstruction, this study aims to examine the evolution characteristics and formation mechanism of low-carbon trade competitiveness between Fujian and Taiwan, with a view to providing reference for the green transformation and high-quality integrated development of trade.
    Methods/Procedures  Based on the input-output table and carbon emission data in 2012, 2017 and 2022, the low-carbon trade competitiveness index for Fujian and Taiwan as a whole and for the four major sectors was calculated. And the evolution logic of its competitiveness from the perspective of the evolution of GVC division characteristics was analyzed.
    Results/Conclusions  The study found that: (1) The overall low-carbon trade competitiveness of Fujian Province exhibited a “V-shaped” evolution, forming a competitive pattern characterized by “services-led growth, industrial recovery, and drag from agriculture and energy.” Taiwan remained at a low comparative-advantage level, displaying the features of “trade surplus but weak low-carbon advantage”; The agriculture and energy remained persistently weak, the industrial advantages fluctuated, and the service sector weakened. (2) In Fujian, the forward participation increased, while the backward dependence declined, and its position in the division of labor improved overall. Although Taiwan maintained a relatively high level of participation, its backward dependence deepened and its positional advantage receded. (3) Relying on the expansion of digital services, the development of green manufacturing, and the optimization of the energy structure, Fujian promoted the upgrading of division of labor and enhanced its competitiveness. Taiwan, by contrast, was constrained by backward dependence and carbon-intensive inputs, resulting in the insufficient transformation of labor division advantages. These findings indicated that the key to improving the competitiveness of low-carbon trade was to optimize the patterns of GVC participation, reduce the dependence on high-carbon input and improve the carbon efficiency.

     

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