数字乡村建设赋能农业农村现代化:实证检验与机制分析

Digital Rural Construction Empowering the Agricultural and Rural Modernization: Empirical Test and Mechanism Analysis

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 农业农村现代化是满足人民日益增长的美好生活需要、实现乡村全面振兴的核心引擎,而数字乡村建设为农业农村现代化注入强劲动能。通过实证检验数字乡村建设对农业农村现代化的影响效应,并深入揭示其作用机制,为推动乡村全面振兴提供政策参考。
    方法/过程 在理论分析的基础上,基于2011—2023年中国31个省级面板数据,运用面板固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型等方法,实证探讨数字乡村建设对农业农村现代化的影响效应及作用机制。
    结果/结论 结果显示:(1)基准回归结果表明,数字乡村建设能够直接促进农业农村现代化,且该结论在考虑多种内生性、稳健性检验下仍成立;(2)中介模型检验结果表明,农业创新和农业产业链现代化是数字乡村建设赋能农业农村现代化的两条重要路径;(3)异质性分析发现,数字乡村建设在粮食主销区、低市场化指数区以及农业劳动生产率低区的赋能效应更为显著;(4)进一步分析发现,随着农民受教育水平的提高,超过一定门槛值后,数字乡村建设对于农业农村现代化的促进作用逐渐减弱。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning  Agricultural and rural modernization is the core engine to meet the people’s growing needs for a better life and realize the comprehensive revitalization of the countryside. The digital rural construction has injected the strong momentum into this process. The purpose of this paper is to empirically test the impact of digital rural construction on the agricultural and rural modernization, and to deeply reveal its mechanism of action, so as to provide the policy reference for promoting the overall revitalization of rural areas.
    Methods/Procedures  On the basis of theoretical analysis, based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2023, the panel fixed effect model, mediating effect model and threshold effect model were used to empirically discuss the influence effect and mechanism of digital rural construction on the agricultural and rural modernization.
    Results/Conclusions  (1) The baseline regression results showed that the digital rural construction could directly promote the modernization of agriculture and rural areas, and this conclusion was still valid under the consideration of a variety of endogenous and robustness tests. (2) The results of the mediating model test showed that the agricultural innovation and the modernization of agricultural industry chain were two important paths for the digital rural construction to empower the agricultural and rural modernization. (3) The heterogeneity analysis showed that the empowerment effect of digital rural construction was more significant in the major grain sales areas, in the areas with low marketization index and in the regions with low agricultural labor productivity. (4) The further analysis found that with the improvement of farmers’ education level, after exceeding a certain threshold, the role of digital rural construction in promoting the agricultural and rural modernization has gradually weakened.

     

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