福州都市圈碳排放时空格局演变及其驱动因素分析

Analysis on the Spatial-temporal Pattern Evolution and Driving Factors of Carbon Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Fuzhou

  • 摘要:
    目的/意义 探究福州都市圈2001—2020年碳排放时空格局及其演变过程,为福州都市圈绿色发展及我国都市圈碳排放合理控制等相关问题提供借鉴。
    方法/过程 分析福州都市圈碳排放时空格局演变的影响因素及作用机理,探讨福州都市圈产业结构可持续发展转型的建议。
    结果/结论 结果表明:(1)从时间序列角度,都市圈碳排放总量年际变化可大致分为2个阶段:2001—2011年的快速增长期,都市圈碳排放量迅速增加;2012—2020年的波动调整期,都市圈能源结构调整减缓了碳排放的继续增长;(2)在时空格局演变方面,福州都市圈碳排放量空间格局从早期的分散布局逐渐向东南沿海地区集中,呈现以福清市为核心发散的环状空间布局;(3)在驱动因素方面,人口增长、地区经济发展与产业结构是重要的影响因素。基于此,结合已有经验,提出福州都市圈产业转型与能源结构优化的建议。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective/Meaning By exploring the spatial and temporal pattern and evolution process of carbon emissions in the metropolitan area of Fuzhou from 2001 to 2020, it would provide reference for the green development of metropolitan area in Fuzhou and the reasonable control of carbon emissions in the metropolitan area of China.
    Methods/Procedures The influencing factors and mechanism of the spatial and temporal pattern evolution of carbon emissions in the metropolitan area of Fuzhou were analyzed, and then the suggestions for the sustainable development and transformation of industrial structure in the metropolitan area of Fuzhou were discussed.
    Results/Conclusions The results showed that: (1) From the perspective of time series, the interannual variation of total carbon emissions in the metropolitan areas could be roughly divided into two stages: a rapid growth period from 2001 to 2011, during which there was a rapid increase in the carbon emissions of the metropolitan area, and a fluctuation adjustment period from 2012 to 2020, during which the adjustment of energy structure in the metropolitan area slowed down the continued growth of carbon emissions. (2) In terms of the evolution of spatial and temporal pattern, the spatial pattern of carbon emissions in the metropolitan area of Fuzhou has gradually concentrated from the early scattered layout to the southeastern coastal areas showing a circular spatial layout with Fuqing City as the core. (3) In terms of the driving factors, the population growth, regional economic development, and industrial structure were the important influencing factors. Based on this, by combining the research findings with the existing experience, the countermeasures were put forward for the industrial transformation and energy structure optimization of metropolitan area in Fuzhou.

     

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