中国对“一带一路”沿线国家农业直接投资的贸易效应分析

Analysis on the Trade Effects of China’s Agricultural Direct Investment in the Countries Along the“One Belt and One Road”

  • 摘要:
      目的/意义  自2013年提出“一带一路”倡议以来,中国与其他国家农业投资合作规模不断扩大,带动着双边粮食、畜牧、农产品加工等产业,为沿线国家经济社会发展提供增长空间。分析农业利用投资的贸易效应,以期为我国“一带一路”建设国家农业投资贸易合作开辟新的合作路径,并提供一定的参考价值。
      方法/过程  基于16个“一带一路”沿线国家2011—2020年的面板数据,通过对贸易引力模型的运用拓展,从农产品进出口两个角度进行贸易效应分析。
      结果/结论  研究结果表明:中国在“一带一路”共建国家的农业投资对中国与这些国家的农产品贸易产生了显著的正向影响。据此提出优化投资环境、提高贸易投资的便利度与自由度、深化农业供给侧改革,构建现代化农业体系等建议。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective/Meaning  Since the “One Belt and One Road” Initiative was proposed in 2013, the scale of agricultural investment cooperation between China and other countries has been expanding, which drived the industrial development of bilateral food, animal husbandry, and agricultural product processing, and provided the growth space for the economic and social development of countries along the route. The trade effect of agricultural investment was analyzed in this paper, in order to open up a new path of cooperation for the agricultural investment and trade cooperation between China and the countries along the “One Belt and One Road”, and provide some reference value.
      Methods/Procedures  Based on the panel data of 16 countries along the “One Belt and One Road” from 2011 to 2020, through the application and expansion of the trade gravity model, the trade effect was analyzed from two perspectives of the import and export of agricultural products.
      Results/Conclusions  The results showed that China’s agricultural investment in the countries along the “One Belt and One Road” had a significant positive impact on the agricultural trade between China and these countries. Therefore, some suggestions were put forward including optimizing the investment environment, improving the convenience and freedom of trade and investment, deepening the reform of agricultural supply side, and building a modern agricultural system, etc.

     

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