流出地视角下农村人口空心化测度及影响因素分析

Analysis on the Measurement of Rural Population Hollowing and Its Influencing Factors from the Perspective of Outflow Places

  • 摘要:
      目的/意义  全面了解中国农村人口空心化现状及其影响因素。
      方法/过程  基于中国劳动力动态调查数据中的219份农村数据,通过构建农村人口空心化的综合评价指标体系,采用熵权法确定权重并加权求和,实现对农村人口空心化的测度,并借助线性回归模型探讨农村人口空心化的影响因素。
      结果/结论  研究结果表明:219个农村的人口空心化程度大致呈正态分布,较多数农村空心化程度偏高;耕地撂荒现象、距最近行政中心的距离会对农村人口空心化产生促进作用,而村内非农产业数量、村集体财政收入、集贸场所和卫生医疗设施会对农村人口空心化产生遏制作用;并且,不同的影响因素在不同地区存在异质性特征。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective/Meaning  This paper was aimed to comprehensively understand the current situation of rural population hollowing in China and its influencing factors.
      Methods/Procedures  Based on the 219 rural data from the data of China Laborforce Dynamic Survey, the comprehensive evaluation index system for the rural population hollowing was constructed. The entropy weight method was used to determine the weight and the weighted summation was calculated, thus to realize the measurement of the rural population hollowing. The influencing factors of the rural population hollowing were explored by means of the linear regression model.
      Results/Conclusions  The results showed that the degree of population hollowing in the 219 rural areas presented normal distribution approximately, which was higher than that in most rural areas. The phenomenon of farmland abandonment and the distance from the nearest administrative center would promote the rural population hollowing, while the number of non-agricultural industries in the village, the collective financial income of the village, the trading places and the health and medical facilities would restrain the rural population hollowing. In addition, there existed some heterogeneity for different influencing factors in different regions.

     

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