福建省金融发展与城乡收入差距的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Financial Development and Urban-rural Income Gap in Fujian Province

  • 摘要: 【目的/意义】金融发展与城乡收入差距的关系一直是经济金融领域的一个热点话题,探讨两者的关系不仅对研究宏观问题具有理论意义,还可以为缩小城乡差距、增加农民收入提供一定的政策启示。【方法/过程】基于福建省1985-2017年的数据,利用EViews软件构建VAR模型,在对福建省金融发展水平及城乡收入差距进行协整检验的基础上,进一步通过脉冲响应分析和方差分解研究这些变量间的动态关联。【结果/结论】结果表明,在长期内,金融发展规模会加剧城乡收入的不平等,而提高金融发展效率则有助于缩小差距。金融发展对城乡差距的作用机制表现在直接和间接两个方面:一方面,金融资源的城市倾向会使得随着金融发展程度提高,城乡收入差距反而拉大;另一方面,金融发展水平可能会通过城镇化这一中介变量间接作用于城乡收入差距。因此,在加大对农村金融的政策支持的同时,也要注意金融发展对城镇化的加速作用,形成一个良好的城乡协同发展机制。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective/Meaning】The relationship between financial development and urban-rural income gap has always been a hot topic in the field of economics and finance. The discussion on the relationship between financial development and urban-rural income gap is not only of theoretical significance for the study of macro issues, but also provides certain policy enlightenment for narrowing the urban-rural gap and increasing farmers' income. 【Methods/Procedures】Based on the data of Fujian province from 1985 to 2017, the VAR model was built by using the EViews software. On the basis of the co-integration test of financial development level and urban-rural income gap in Fujian province, the dynamic correlation between these variables was further studied through impulse response analysis and variance decomposition. 【Results/Conclusions】The results showed that in the long term, the scale of financial development would increase the urban-rural income inequality, while improving the efficiency of financial development would help to narrow the gap. The function mechanism of financial development on the urban-rural gap lay in direct and indirect aspects: on the one hand, the urban tendency of financial resources would make the urban-rural income gap widen with the increase of financial development level; On the other hand, the level of financial development might indirectly affect the urban-rural income gap through the intervening variable of urbanization. Therefore, while increasing the policy support for rural finance, it was also important to pay attention to the acceleration of financial development on urbanization, so as to form a good mechanism for the coordinated urban-rural development.

     

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