一带一路背景下福建省金融发展与城乡收入差距的VAR模型实证分析

Empirical Analysis on VAR Model of Financial Development and Urban-rural Income Gap in Fujian Province Under the Background of One Belt One Road

  • 摘要: 【目的/意义】推动乡村振兴的战略应充分发挥金融润滑剂的作用,利用金融手段促进城乡收入差距问题的解决,这在一定程度上对解决我国现阶段城乡发展不充分、不平衡的难题,缓解我国社会矛盾具有重要的意义。【方法/过程】基于VAR模型通过选取福建省1981-2017年的相关数据,利用Eviews软件研究分析福建省金融发展规模和效率对于缩小城乡收入差距的作用。考虑到福建省独特的“一带一路”核心区地位对外贸的引领作用,创新性地引入对外贸易指标,研究对外贸易对缩小城乡收入差距的作用。【结果/结论】结果显示,金融发展效率、出口贸易水平与城乡收入差距成正比;金融发展规模、财政偏倚度、进口贸易水平与城乡收入差距存在负相关性,在抑制城乡收入差距扩大上具有一定的积极作用。基于此,提出缩小福建省收入差距应促进支农投资倾斜;开发新金融支农手段;扩大金融发展规模;调整财政支出城乡比例。

     

    Abstract: 【Objective/Meaning】The strategy of promoting rural revitalization should give full play to the role of financial lubricant and use financial means to promote the settlement of urban-rural income gap, which was of great significance to a certain extent to solve the problem of insufficient and unbalanced urban-rural development and relieve social contradictions in China. 【Methods/Procedures】Based on the VAR model, relevant data of Fujian Province from 1981 to 2017 were selected to analyze the role of the scale and efficiency of financial development in Fujian Province in narrowing the urban-rural income gap by using the Eviews software. Considering the leading role of Fujian's unique status of “One Belt One Road” core zone in foreign trade, the indicators of foreign trade were innovatively introduced to study the role of foreign trade in narrowing the urban-rural income gap. 【Results/Conclusions】The results showed that: The efficiency of financial development and the level of export trade were directly proportional to the urban-rural income gap, while the scale of financial development, the degree of financial bias and the level of import trade were negatively correlated with the urban-rural income gap, which played a positive role in curbing the expansion of the urban-rural income gap. Based on this, it was put forward that the income gap in Fujian Province should be narrowed by promoting the investment in supporting agriculture, developing new financial means to support agriculture, expanding the scale of financial development and adjusting the ratio of fiscal expenditure in urban and rural areas.

     

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