基于Minami准则下的闽台刘易斯转折点对比

Comparison on Lewis Turning Point Between Fujian and Taiwan Based on Minami Rule

  • 摘要: 立足于刘易斯理论基本内涵,结合Minami准则,从5个标准对闽台刘易斯转折点进行论证和对比。结果表明,闽台分别于1992年左右和1966年左右越过“短缺点”,两者相差约26年;目前两地均处于“短缺点”向“商业化点”过渡时期,但台湾已靠近“商业化点”,二元经济向一元经济过渡的进程明显快于福建。最后,借鉴台湾经验,现阶段福建应优化人力资本,调整经济结构,解决结构性短缺与就业压力并存的矛盾;提高农业生产效率,稳定农业发展;提高企业自主创新能力,化解劳动力成本上升压力。

     

    Abstract: Based on Lewis Theory and Minami Rule, the Lewis turning point between Fujian and Taiwan were comparatively discussed according to five standards. The results showed that Fujian and Taiwan went through the “shortage point” at about 1992 and 1966, respectively, which was 26 years later in Fujian compared to Taiwan; At present, both Fujian and Taiwan were in the transition period from the “shortage point” to the “commercialization point”, but in Taiwan, it had been closer to the “commercialization point” and the transition speed from dual economy to a dual economy was obviously higher than Fujian. Therefore, using Taiwan experience for reference, it was necessary for Fujian to optimize the human resources and adjust the economic structure so that the contradiction between structural shortages and employment pressure could be solved; to improve the efficiency of agricultural production, and make agriculture develop stably; and enhance the independent innovation ability of enterprise, and decelerate the rising cost of labor.

     

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