福建省农产品加工业对农民增收影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on the Effects of Agricultural Product Processing Industry on Farmer’s Income in Fujian Province

  • 摘要: 以1999—2015年相关统计数据为基础,采用平稳检验、协整检验、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果检验的方法,对福建省农产品加工业的发展状况和农民收入的增长进行了实证分析。结果表明:从长期来看,农产品加工业的增加值和农民人均收入增长之间存在着显著的协整关系,具体表现为农产品加工业的增加值每增加1%,则农民人均纯收入相应会增加0.47%;农产品加工业的增长影响农民人均收入,而农民人均收入对农产品加工业增加值的增长影响不大。最后,提出有利于农产品加工业的发展和提升竞争能力的对策建议,以进一步提高农民的收入水平。

     

    Abstract:  Effects of agricultural product processing industry on farmer’s income were empirically analyzed by stationary test, cointegration test, error correction model, and Granger causality test based on the data of Fujian Province from 1999 to 2015. The results showed that there was significant cointegration between agricultural product processing industry and farmer’s income in the long run. When the output value of agricultural product processing industry increased by 1%, the farmer’s income would be correspondingly increased by 0.47%. The agricultural product processing industry had an obvious effect on farmer’s income, but not the other way round. Finally, some proposals beneficial for the development and competition of agricultural product processing industry were put forward in order to further enhance the income of farmers.

     

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