价格变化、收入分配与农村益贫式增长

Prices Change, Income Distribution and Rural Pro-poor Growth

  • 摘要: 基于3维Shapley贫困变动分解方法,分析经济增长、收入分配和价格变化对于农村贫困变动的影响,将价格因素引入益贫增长指数,测度农村增长的益贫性;运用增长发生曲线,结合特定百分位消费价格指数,观测各百分位平均收入增长率的变动轨迹;在此基础上,采用减贫等值增长率综合评价1990—2009年中国农村增长的益贫性质。研究结果表明,农村增长弱绝对意义益贫、价格变化和收入分配影响减贫进程,通货膨胀的异质性是益贫式增长判断的重要影响因素。

     

    Abstract: Based on the three-dimensional Shapley poverty variance decomposition method, the effects of economical growth, income distribution and price changes on rural poverty changes were analyzed. By introducing the price factors into the pro-poor growth index, the pro-poorness of rural growth was measured. And by using the growth curve, and combining with the percentile-specific consumer price indices, the changes in the average income growth rate of each percentile were observed. Then, on this basis, the poverty reduction equivalent growth rate was used to comprehensively evaluate the pro-poorness of China’s rural growth from 1990 to 2009. The results showed that rural growth was weekly pro-poor in absolute sense, income distribution and prices shift affected the process of poverty reduction, and the heterogeneity of inflation was an important factor in the judgment of pro-poor growth.

     

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